AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
GAE
1 - 3
AZA
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
AZA
1 - 0
GAE
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
AZA
3 - 0
TWE
50%
25%
26%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
VOL
0 - 0
AZA
24%
26%
50%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
AZA
3 - 1
RJC
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
VOL
0 - 0
ZWO
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
ZWO
2 - 1
VOL
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
SPA
2 - 2
ZWO
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
ZWO
0 - 2
FEY
20%
22%
58%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1979 |
ZWO
2 - 0
NEC
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |