AZ Alkmaar vs FC Wageningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.4%
Win probability
3.85
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.8%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.3%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.9%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
5.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
5.9%
2.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1981 |
RJC
2 - 2
AZA
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1981 |
AZA
5 - 0
GRO
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1981 |
AZA
4 - 1
GAE
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1981 |
AZA
4 - 2
IPS
70%
16%
14%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
UTR
2 - 2
AZA
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wageningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1981 |
WAG
1 - 2
ADO
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
GRO
2 - 0
WAG
56%
23%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
WAG
0 - 0
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1981 |
PSV
4 - 0
WAG
79%
13%
8%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1981 |
WAG
2 - 2
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |