AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
AZA
1 - 1
TWE
39%
26%
36%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1998 |
AZA
1 - 0
RJC
38%
26%
37%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
SPA
0 - 0
AZA
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
MVV
2 - 1
AZA
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1998 |
BVO
0 - 0
AZA
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
UTR
2 - 1
GRA
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1998 |
BVO
1 - 1
UTR
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
UTR
2 - 0
WIL
42%
25%
32%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1998 |
UTR
2 - 2
NEC
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
PSV
5 - 0
UTR
84%
11%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |