AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
43.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
AZA
2 - 1
MVV
34%
31%
35%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
SPA
4 - 1
AZA
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
AZA
3 - 1
EXC
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
ADO
4 - 0
AZA
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1972 |
AZA
0 - 0
BOS
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
UTR
3 - 1
NAC
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
MVV
2 - 0
UTR
40%
24%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
UTR
0 - 0
GRO
70%
18%
11%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
SPA
6 - 0
UTR
72%
15%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1972 |
UTR
0 - 4
FEY
27%
21%
52%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |