AZ Alkmaar vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2002 |
FOR
0 - 1
AZA
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
AZA
2 - 1
GRA
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
FEY
4 - 1
AZA
74%
17%
10%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2002 |
NAC
3 - 1
AZA
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
RKC
3 - 2
AZA
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
RKC
3 - 1
TWE
44%
24%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
TWE
0 - 1
GRO
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
VIT
2 - 0
TWE
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
TWE
2 - 0
NEC
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
FEY
1 - 2
TWE
62%
20%
17%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |