AZ Alkmaar vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1998 |
AZA
1 - 0
RJC
38%
26%
37%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
SPA
0 - 0
AZA
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
MVV
2 - 1
AZA
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1998 |
BVO
0 - 0
AZA
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
TWE
5 - 1
WIL
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
NEC
2 - 2
TWE
36%
25%
39%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1998 |
TWE
1 - 2
SCH
44%
25%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
TWE
2 - 2
PSV
21%
23%
56%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1998 |
FOR
0 - 3
TWE
36%
25%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |