AZ Alkmaar vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1997 |
RKC
5 - 0
AZA
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1997 |
AZA
1 - 4
GRO
40%
27%
32%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1997 |
AZA
1 - 0
WIL
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
VOL
2 - 2
AZA
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
AZA
1 - 3
RJC
22%
25%
54%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1997 |
TWE
4 - 0
NAC
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1997 |
AJA
3 - 2
TWE
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
FEY
1 - 1
TWE
64%
20%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
TWE
2 - 1
FOR
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1997 |
VIT
4 - 2
TWE
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |