AZ Alkmaar vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
PSV
1 - 0
AZA
85%
10%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1988 |
AZA
2 - 1
FCD
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
SPA
0 - 1
AZA
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
AZA
4 - 1
RJC
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
AZA
0 - 1
BOS
45%
26%
28%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1988 |
TWE
2 - 1
GRO
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1988 |
HFC
1 - 5
TWE
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
TWE
3 - 0
ZWO
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
WIL
1 - 1
TWE
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1988 |
TWE
0 - 0
FEY
31%
25%
44%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |