AZ Alkmaar vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
NEC
2 - 0
AZA
17%
22%
62%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
AZA
5 - 2
ADO
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
AJA
3 - 2
AZA
61%
19%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
AZA
4 - 0
GRA
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1982 |
TWE
2 - 0
AZA
40%
24%
36%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
TWE
0 - 3
RJC
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
FEY
3 - 3
TWE
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
TWE
0 - 2
NEC
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
HFC
3 - 0
TWE
29%
26%
46%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1982 |
TWE
2 - 0
AZA
40%
24%
36%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |