AZ Alkmaar vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
42.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
VVV
1 - 0
AZA
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
AZA
4 - 1
NAC
62%
23%
16%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
AZA
0 - 3
AJA
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
SPA
1 - 1
AZA
51%
25%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1976 |
AMS
0 - 0
AZA
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
TWE
0 - 0
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
NEC
4 - 0
TWE
29%
28%
44%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
RJC
1 - 0
TWE
28%
28%
44%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1976 |
TWE
4 - 0
AMS
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1976 |
TWE
1 - 1
SPA
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |