AZ Alkmaar vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
14%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
51.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
NEC
0 - 1
AZA
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
AZA
0 - 2
AMS
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1973 |
AZA
1 - 1
RJC
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1973 |
SPA
1 - 1
AZA
78%
15%
8%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
ADO
0 - 1
AZA
73%
18%
10%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1973 |
TWE
1 - 2
IPS
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
NAC
0 - 2
TWE
21%
28%
52%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1973 |
IPS
1 - 0
TWE
53%
25%
22%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1973 |
TWE
2 - 0
NEC
77%
15%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1973 |
TWE
7 - 0
PAN
82%
13%
5%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | +1 |