AZ Alkmaar vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.8%
31.7%
Draw
0-0
16.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
31.7%
46.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
18.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
AZA
1 - 3
UTR
27%
29%
44%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
GAE
2 - 0
AZA
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
AZA
1 - 1
SPA
17%
27%
56%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
FEY
6 - 1
AZA
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
AZA
1 - 1
EXC
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1971 |
TWE
2 - 2
JUV
57%
24%
20%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1971 |
TWE
2 - 1
VOL
83%
12%
5%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
TWE
1 - 1
DWS
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
SPA
2 - 1
TWE
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1971 |
JUV
2 - 0
TWE
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |