AZ Alkmaar vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
39.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
PSV
7 - 2
AZA
75%
15%
10%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
AZA
1 - 1
SHS
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
HFC
0 - 0
AZA
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
GRO
4 - 1
AZA
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
AZA
0 - 1
AJA
14%
18%
67%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
TWE
0 - 3
AJA
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
NEC
1 - 1
TWE
36%
23%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1969 |
TWE
1 - 0
FCR
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
TWE
2 - 0
SPA
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
GAE
1 - 1
TWE
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |