AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
TWE
0 - 0
AZA
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
AZA
1 - 2
RJC
35%
26%
40%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
PSV
3 - 0
AZA
74%
16%
11%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2001 |
GRO
0 - 1
AZA
49%
23%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2001 |
AZA
3 - 2
BOS
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
PSV
8 - 0
GRO
76%
15%
9%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
GRO
2 - 2
UTR
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
GRO
3 - 0
ZWO
32%
23%
44%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
GRO
0 - 0
SPA
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2001 |
GRA
1 - 2
GRO
49%
25%
27%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |