AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
PSV
4 - 0
AZA
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
NEC
1 - 1
AZA
31%
24%
45%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
AZA
2 - 1
MVV
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 0
AZA
38%
24%
38%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
AZA
0 - 1
SPA
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
GRO
3 - 1
MVV
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 2
GRO
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
GRO
2 - 2
SPA
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
TWE
1 - 0
GRO
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
GRO
2 - 1
AJA
29%
24%
48%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |