AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
20%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1973 |
FEY
2 - 1
AZA
85%
11%
4%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
AZA
0 - 0
NEC
39%
30%
32%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
PSV
1 - 0
AZA
74%
17%
8%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
AZA
1 - 1
GAE
36%
30%
35%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
AMS
0 - 3
AZA
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1973 |
GRO
1 - 4
MVV
42%
29%
29%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1973 |
GRO
1 - 0
NAC
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
SPA
2 - 0
GRO
83%
12%
5%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
GRO
1 - 1
EXC
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
ADO
3 - 0
GRO
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |