AZ Alkmaar vs FC Eindhoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
GRA
0 - 0
AZA
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1977 |
AZA
4 - 1
NEC
65%
20%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1977 |
RJC
0 - 2
AZA
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
AZA
2 - 0
AMS
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
FEY
0 - 2
AZA
76%
15%
9%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Eindhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
EIN
1 - 1
TWE
23%
24%
52%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
GRA
2 - 0
EIN
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
EIN
1 - 1
VVV
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1977 |
NEC
2 - 0
EIN
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
EIN
1 - 1
NAC
46%
26%
29%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |