AZ Alkmaar vs FC Eindhoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
EXC
0 - 1
AZA
36%
30%
34%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
AZA
2 - 0
SPA
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
AJA
2 - 0
AZA
83%
11%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
AZA
1 - 1
TEL
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1976 |
UTR
1 - 0
AZA
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Eindhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
EIN
1 - 0
NEC
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1976 |
GAE
2 - 1
EIN
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
EIN
0 - 0
FEY
12%
17%
71%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
AMS
3 - 4
EIN
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
EIN
1 - 1
GRA
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |