AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
FEY
3 - 1
AZA
42%
25%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
AJA
4 - 1
AZA
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AZA
4 - 1
GRO
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HER
3 - 6
AZA
34%
25%
40%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
AZA
1 - 0
VIT
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 0
NEC
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AJA
3 - 0
EXC
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 4
ADO
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 0
WIL
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
EXC
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |