AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
AZA
0 - 1
HFC
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
RJC
1 - 0
AZA
59%
21%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1986 |
TWE
1 - 0
AZA
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1986 |
AZA
0 - 4
GRO
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1986 |
AZA
1 - 1
HFC
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
FOR
3 - 0
EXC
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
EXC
1 - 0
BVV
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1986 |
EXC
0 - 2
SPA
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
GAE
1 - 0
EXC
68%
18%
13%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1986 |
EXC
3 - 0
FOR
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |