AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1984 |
RJC
1 - 2
AZA
31%
24%
45%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
AZA
3 - 0
PSV
36%
26%
39%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1984 |
AZA
1 - 1
BOS
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
GAE
1 - 4
AZA
29%
23%
48%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
33%
25%
43%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1984 |
EXC
2 - 1
GAE
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
AJA
4 - 0
EXC
90%
7%
3%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1984 |
EXC
3 - 0
GRO
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
HFC
2 - 2
EXC
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
EXC
0 - 2
FEY
22%
24%
55%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |