AZ Alkmaar vs Elinkwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
AJA
3 - 1
AZA
82%
11%
7%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1961 |
AZA
1 - 1
GRO
49%
23%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1961 |
GRO
1 - 0
AZA
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
AZA
1 - 2
PSV
38%
23%
39%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
FEY
6 - 0
AZA
85%
9%
6%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Elinkwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
ELI
2 - 1
ENS
42%
23%
35%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1961 |
ELI
0 - 0
MVV
47%
23%
30%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1961 |
MVV
2 - 3
ELI
70%
17%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
FOR
0 - 1
ELI
71%
17%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
ELI
1 - 4
WIL
51%
23%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |