AZ Alkmaar vs FC Amsterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
33%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1973 |
AZA
1 - 1
RJC
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1973 |
SPA
1 - 1
AZA
78%
15%
8%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
ADO
0 - 1
AZA
73%
18%
10%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
AZA
2 - 1
TEL
44%
29%
28%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
AZA
4 - 0
GRA
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC Amsterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
NAC
0 - 1
AMS
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1973 |
AMS
2 - 3
TWE
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
NEC
0 - 0
AMS
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
GAE
2 - 2
AMS
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
AMS
2 - 0
GRO
71%
19%
11%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |