AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
EXC
1 - 5
AZA
20%
25%
55%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
AZA
2 - 1
SPA
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
ADO
1 - 0
AZA
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
MVV
1 - 2
AZA
23%
26%
51%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
AZA
2 - 1
PSV
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
AJA
1 - 1
HFC
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
VIT
1 - 1
AJA
21%
25%
53%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
AJA
2 - 1
GAE
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
AJA
2 - 1
NAC
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1979 |
WIL
1 - 3
AJA
15%
23%
62%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |