AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
46.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
SPA
1 - 1
AZA
51%
25%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1976 |
AMS
0 - 0
AZA
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
AZA
1 - 0
UTR
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
AZA
1 - 1
NAC
64%
21%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
GRA
2 - 3
AZA
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1976 |
AJA
1 - 0
GRA
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1976 |
TEL
1 - 1
AJA
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
AJA
5 - 3
TWE
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
EIN
2 - 3
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
AJA
2 - 0
MVV
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |