AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
49.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
PSV
2 - 1
AZA
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
AZA
2 - 4
FEY
39%
22%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
VVV
1 - 3
AZA
55%
21%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
AZA
1 - 1
RAP
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
MVV
2 - 1
AZA
53%
21%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
AJA
1 - 1
ENS
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
FOR
2 - 3
AJA
36%
22%
42%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
AJA
6 - 0
WIL
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
ELI
3 - 3
AJA
20%
20%
60%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
NAC
1 - 3
AJA
35%
22%
43%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |