AZ Alkmaar vs Amsterdam FC DWS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
AZA
3 - 0
NEC
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
MVV
1 - 0
AZA
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
AZA
1 - 1
FEY
21%
21%
58%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
TWE
1 - 0
AZA
81%
11%
8%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
AZA
0 - 0
TEL
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Amsterdam FC DWS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
GRO
2 - 2
DWS
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
DWS
1 - 2
PSV
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
DWS
4 - 0
NEC
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1969 |
GLA
2 - 1
DWS
72%
17%
12%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
MVV
1 - 1
DWS
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |