AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
PSV
1 - 0
AZA
55%
23%
23%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
SDL
1 - 1
AZA
40%
23%
37%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
AZA
1 - 2
VIT
70%
20%
10%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
AZA
2 - 0
VVV
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
AZA
0 - 0
OLP
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ADO
1 - 4
HER
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
RJC
1 - 1
ADO
57%
23%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ADO
0 - 2
FEY
21%
24%
56%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
WIL
1 - 1
ADO
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ADO
1 - 5
PSV
17%
25%
58%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |