AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
NAC
1 - 2
AZA
28%
27%
46%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
VIT
1 - 2
AZA
22%
22%
56%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
AZA
4 - 1
VVV
73%
16%
10%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
UTR
0 - 0
AZA
35%
26%
40%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
AZA
0 - 0
AMS
74%
17%
10%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
NEC
0 - 0
ADO
42%
27%
32%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
ADO
5 - 2
VOL
70%
19%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
TEL
0 - 1
ADO
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
ADO
2 - 1
GAE
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
ADO
3 - 1
RJC
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |