Jong AZ vs Utrecht U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
21.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
TWE
0 - 2
ALK
41%
22%
37%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
ALK
2 - 1
VIT
49%
20%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
ACH
0 - 5
ALK
9%
15%
76%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
ALK
3 - 1
VOL
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
GRO
1 - 1
ALK
55%
20%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
UTR
4 - 0
ALM
63%
18%
19%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 1
UTR
23%
20%
57%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
UTR
2 - 1
BRA
81%
12%
7%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
UTR
7 - 2
SPA
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
UTR
0 - 0
GRO
50%
21%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |