Jong AZ vs Utrecht U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 5
ALK
21%
20%
60%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
ALK
3 - 1
GAE
78%
13%
9%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
ALK
3 - 0
FYN
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +3 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ALK
2 - 2
SPA
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 1
ALK
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
HER
5 - 1
UTR
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
UTR
3 - 0
FOR
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
UTR
1 - 1
WIL
40%
23%
37%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 0
UTR
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
UTR
0 - 0
NAC
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |