Jong AZ vs Utrecht Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
8.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
ALK
3 - 1
GRA
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
RKC
5 - 1
ALK
25%
22%
54%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -3 |
| 20 Jan. 2014 |
ALK
2 - 2
ALM
73%
15%
12%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
DBS
2 - 2
ALK
14%
18%
68%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
FYN
2 - 1
ALK
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
UTR
0 - 2
RKC
46%
23%
32%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
ALM
2 - 5
UTR
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2014 |
UTR
4 - 0
DBS
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
FYN
1 - 1
UTR
75%
15%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 1
UTR
56%
22%
23%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |