Jong AZ vs Koninklijke HFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
62%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DET
0 - 0
ALK
84%
11%
5%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ALK
3 - 2
EXC
15%
23%
62%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
KOZ
2 - 4
ALK
85%
11%
5%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ALK
0 - 0
KAT
7%
14%
80%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 3
ALK
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Koninklijke HFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
KON
0 - 0
VVS
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
AFC
3 - 1
KON
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -3 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
KON
0 - 2
UNA
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
KON
1 - 1
LIE
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
KOZ
2 - 2
KON
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |