Jong AZ vs Groningen U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
ADO
0 - 3
ALK
15%
20%
65%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
ALK
3 - 1
NEC
84%
11%
5%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
TWE
2 - 2
ALK
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
ALK
1 - 0
UTR
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
PSV
4 - 0
ALK
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -3 |
Matches
Groningen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
GRO
2 - 3
FYN
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 1
GRO
19%
22%
59%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
GRO
3 - 2
JON
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
SPA
3 - 3
GRO
35%
24%
40%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
GRO
4 - 0
HER
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |