Jong AZ vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
62%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+136%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
KOZ
2 - 4
ALK
85%
11%
5%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ALK
0 - 0
KAT
7%
14%
80%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 3
ALK
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 1
ALK
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
ALK
0 - 2
UTR
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 1
GVV
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
UNA
2 - 1
EXC
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 0
VVS
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 3
LIE
49%
25%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
LIE
0 - 2
EXC
49%
26%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |