Jong AZ vs De Graafschap U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
14%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
RKC
5 - 1
ALK
25%
22%
54%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2014 |
ALK
2 - 2
ALM
73%
15%
12%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
DBS
2 - 2
ALK
14%
18%
68%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
FYN
2 - 1
ALK
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
ALK
1 - 1
WIL
79%
13%
8%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
GRA
3 - 2
SPA
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
RKC
0 - 1
GRA
44%
23%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
GRA
5 - 3
ALM
40%
23%
37%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 3
NAC
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2013 |
DBS
1 - 3
GRA
29%
22%
48%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |