Jong AZ vs De Graafschap U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 4
ALK
17%
20%
63%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
ALK
5 - 1
DBS
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
ALK
3 - 0
WIL
79%
13%
8%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
DOR
1 - 4
ALK
10%
17%
74%
|
31 | 8 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
VVV
0 - 1
ALK
19%
21%
61%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
De Graafschap U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
GRA
3 - 0
DOR
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 2
VOL
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
ADO
0 - 0
GRA
42%
22%
36%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
SPA
5 - 2
GRA
48%
22%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
ROD
0 - 0
GRA
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |