Jong AZ vs Brabant United Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.3%
3.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2015 |
WIL
3 - 2
ALK
41%
22%
36%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
ALK
6 - 0
FYN
53%
20%
26%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 2
ALK
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
VVV
1 - 0
ALK
25%
20%
55%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
ALK
2 - 1
ALM
70%
16%
14%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brabant United Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 2
ALM
26%
22%
53%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
BRA
30%
22%
49%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 1
HER
15%
18%
67%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
5 - 0
BRA
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 1
NEC
31%
23%
47%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |