Jong AZ vs Almere City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
67.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
BOS
1 - 2
ALK
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
ALK
0 - 1
RJC
38%
25%
38%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
ALK
2 - 2
HEL
62%
19%
19%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
BVO
2 - 0
ALK
84%
12%
5%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ALK
0 - 1
FCO
53%
22%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Almere City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 0
EIN
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 0
GRA
29%
24%
47%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
PSV
1 - 2
ALM
20%
22%
58%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
ALM
1 - 4
VVV
41%
23%
36%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
TEL
2 - 3
ALM
25%
23%
52%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |