Jong AZ vs Achilles '29 Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.7%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.4%
5-0
8%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.1%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.3%
3-0
12%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
6.5%
2.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
ALK
1 - 1
GRO
68%
17%
16%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
ALK
6 - 2
ALM
77%
13%
10%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 1
ALK
10%
17%
73%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
ALK
3 - 0
BRA
90%
7%
3%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
WIL
3 - 2
ALK
41%
22%
36%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Achilles '29 Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
ACH
0 - 6
ALM
17%
19%
64%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 1
ACH
48%
22%
31%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
ACH
2 - 1
BRA
39%
23%
38%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
ACH
1 - 3
SPA
16%
18%
66%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
UTR
3 - 1
ACH
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |