Aywaille vs Raeren-Eynatten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
5º
13º
10º
3
14º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
11 | 71 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 63 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 59 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 59 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 58 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 58 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 55 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 55 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 51 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 47 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 44 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 43 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 42 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 40 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
|
16º
|
3 | 37 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 36 |
16º
|
28% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 21 |
17º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 18 |
18º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 76% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 23% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aywaille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VER
0 - 1
AYW
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
AYW
0 - 1
ONH
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RWD
5 - 0
AYW
88%
10%
3%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HBN
0 - 1
AYW
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
AYW
2 - 2
JET
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Raeren-Eynatten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EYN
0 - 1
ENT
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
MEU
4 - 3
EYN
73%
17%
11%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
EYN
0 - 3
SCH
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LAC
3 - 1
EYN
63%
20%
18%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KNO
3 - 0
EYN
74%
16%
11%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |