Aywaille vs Onhaye analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
44.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
13º
11º
39
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 76 |
1º
|
85% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 66 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 64 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 58 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 41 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 36 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 31 |
16º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 30 |
17º
|
32% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 24 |
18º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 89.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
8% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aywaille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RWD
5 - 0
AYW
88%
10%
3%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HBN
0 - 1
AYW
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
AYW
2 - 2
JET
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AYW
4 - 1
LAL
25%
23%
53%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +3 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
OPH
0 - 1
AYW
16%
18%
66%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Onhaye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ONH
0 - 0
MEU
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
OST
0 - 1
ONH
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TUB
2 - 0
ONH
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ONH
3 - 1
ROT
56%
21%
23%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ONH
3 - 0
EEG
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |