Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor vs 52 Orduspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
6º
15º
7º
5
4º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
10º
|
4 | 57 |
1º
|
26% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 53 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 51 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 50 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 50 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 48 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
|
14º
|
1 | 47 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 45 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 42 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 40 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 40 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 36 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 21 |
15º
|
40% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 16 |
16º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 9.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
6% | 8.5% |
|
Next round
|
42% | 39% |
|
Mid-table
|
45.5% | 42% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AYV
3 - 2
AKS
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ANK
1 - 1
AYV
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AYV
0 - 2
AFK
55%
23%
23%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AYV
1 - 0
EDI
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KEP
2 - 3
AYV
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
52 Orduspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
YOZ
1 - 1
YOR
11%
16%
73%
|
46 | 7 | 39 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
YOR
2 - 1
BAY
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
OSK
1 - 1
YOR
14%
22%
64%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AHP
0 - 1
YOR
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
YOR
3 - 3
KUC
59%
22%
18%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |