Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor vs Kepez Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
9º
3º
70
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
KIR
1 - 0
AYV
23%
25%
52%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AYV
1 - 1
AFK
72%
17%
10%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GUM
1 - 1
AYV
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AYV
1 - 0
MBB
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
KAS
2 - 2
AYV
52%
23%
26%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kepez Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
ANT
6 - 1
KEP
87%
10%
3%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
KEP
1 - 0
MBB
70%
19%
12%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
TAR
1 - 3
KEP
19%
22%
59%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
KEP
1 - 0
ABS
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AHP
1 - 2
KEP
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |