Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+265%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
9º
3º
35
7º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
IKG
1 - 2
AYV
17%
23%
60%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
EDI
1 - 2
AYV
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
AYV
0 - 1
KEP
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
KIR
1 - 0
AYV
23%
25%
52%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AYV
1 - 1
AFK
72%
17%
10%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Karabük İdman Yurdu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
KIY
1 - 0
MBB
21%
22%
58%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
KIY
2 - 1
TAR
31%
21%
48%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ABS
1 - 2
KIY
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
KIY
0 - 0
AHP
14%
19%
67%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
KUC
1 - 2
KIY
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |