Thai League 2 Playoffs Ascenso Semi-finals
Global 3-5
Ayutthaya United vs Rayong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayutthaya United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AYU
3 - 2
SKT
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PHU
0 - 1
AYU
26%
25%
49%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AYU
2 - 0
NFC
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 4
AYU
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
AYU
1 - 0
CLU
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rayong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LAM
1 - 1
RAY
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RAY
8 - 4
PAT
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 3
RAY
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
KAS
0 - 2
RAY
11%
19%
70%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SUP
3 - 2
RAY
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |