Ayutthaya United vs Samut Prakan City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayutthaya United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SUP
0 - 1
AYU
13%
20%
67%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
AYU
2 - 2
NFC
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
KAS
0 - 0
AYU
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AYU
2 - 0
TRA
45%
24%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
AYU
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Samut Prakan City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PAT
2 - 2
SKT
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
PAT
1 - 2
NAK
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 0
PDU
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 2
PAT
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PAT
1 - 0
SUP
68%
18%
15%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |