Ayutthaya United vs Samut Prakan City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayutthaya United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LAM
2 - 1
AYU
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
AYU
1 - 2
RAY
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
NBP
1 - 0
AYU
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
AYU
1 - 2
CHA
57%
23%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
KAS
1 - 3
AYU
18%
23%
59%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Samut Prakan City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 1
SKT
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PHU
1 - 0
PAT
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
PAT
1 - 0
SUP
68%
19%
14%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
NAK
5 - 1
PAT
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 0
CLU
67%
18%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |