Ayutthaya United vs Chainat Hornbill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayutthaya United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
KAS
1 - 3
AYU
18%
23%
59%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AYU
2 - 0
SUP
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
AYU
22%
24%
53%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
AYU
0 - 0
CHI
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
AYU
3 - 1
PHU
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chainat Hornbill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
SKT
52%
22%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PHU
0 - 2
CHA
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
CLU
57%
21%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
NAK
1 - 1
CHA
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
CHI
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |