Ayr United vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
AYR
0 - 0
DUN
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
GRE
3 - 2
AYR
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ICT
1 - 1
AYR
49%
25%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
AYR
2 - 1
QOS
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
AYR
1 - 0
BLA
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
STR
2 - 1
HAM
20%
21%
59%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
STR
2 - 0
CWB
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
STR
0 - 1
QUE
36%
26%
39%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BLA
1 - 1
STR
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
STR
1 - 4
ELG
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |